The following charts are based on the data found at https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ and represent a trend if there were no intervention. That is an important caveat, as the pictures might be otherwise alarming. First: Fit the raw data to a curve. This is not necessarily the best fit. I fit a curve to each two points… Continue reading How Would It Spread with No Intervention?
Let’s consider the infection rate. I have heard a rough approximation of a doubling every two days. From a purely mathematical perspective, this may be considered as two to the power of n/2 (where n is the number of days). In a week, this would be: 2^3.5 = 11.3 Now allowing for some of the… Continue reading A Little Math on the New Plague