How Accurate?

One week ago today, I made a very rough estimate, based on some assumptions stated in that post. How accurate was that guess?

At that time, 1,000 cases had been identified within the US. My quick calculation was to assume an order of magnitude gain per week for a few weeks (before saturation was approached). So today should have been 10,000 by that calculation.

I had rounded down to be conservative, it seems prematurely. As I type this, the number of cases in the US stands at 14,250.

In the following post, I fitted the past data to an exponential curve. That seemed to paint a darker picture. Then today, the picture was darker yet. I will keep you posted.

Don’t watch Fox News, as it is unvarnished propaganda against the United States of America.